Tuesday, May 16, 2017

UK hits peak secular. Northern Europe and France previously hit peak secular


The Guardian just published an article  entitled Nearly 50% are of no religion – but has UK hit ‘peak secular’?
But, Bullivant told the Observer that the “growth of no religion may have stalled”. After consistent decline, in the past few years the proportion of nones appears to have stabilised. “Younger people tend to be more non-religious, so you’d expect it to keep going – but it hasn’t. The steady growth of non-Christian religions is a contributing factor, but I wonder if everyone who is going to give up their Anglican affiliation has done so by now? We’ve seen a vast shedding of nominal Christianity, and perhaps it’s now down to its hardcore.”
In the USA, the vast majority of "Nones" who are not part of organized religion believe in the existence of God, but I am sure of the situation in the UK.

In April 2010, the academic Eric Kaufmann, who is an agnostic, declared "the rate of secularisation has flattened to zero in most of Protestant Europe and France."

Concerning the future of religion/secularism in Europe, Eric Kaufmann wrote in 2011:
We have performed these unprecedented analyses on several cases. Austria offers us a window into what the future holds. Its census question on religious affiliation permits us to perform cohort component projections, which show the secular population plateauing by 2050, or as early as 2021 if secularism fails to attract lapsed Christians and new Muslim immigrants at the same rate as it has in the past. (Goujon, Skirbekk et al. 2006). 
This task will arguably become far more difficult as the supply of nominal Christians dries up while more secularisation-resistant Muslims and committed rump Christians comprise an increasing share of the population.

 In 2013, the BBC reported:
A Christian evangelical movement where followers avoid contraception and have as many children as they can is spreading to the UK. They are The Quiverfull, writes Cat McShane.
First, the spread of creationism in Europe on the back of religious immigrants upset new atheist Richard Dawkins. Then British right-wingers managed to get Brexit passed and Dawkins is very upset about this matter also.  And now secularism hits a wall in the UK.

The prospects for British atheism and British secular leftism are poor in 21st century.

A large part of Europe hit peak secular. And there is a resurgence of Orthodox Christianity in central and Eastern Europe.  These two developments combined with Asian atheism seeing a rapid decline and global atheism shrinking in its percentage of adherents effectively means atheism is doomed.

On December 23, 2012, Professor Eric Kaufmann who teaches at Birbeck College, University of London wrote:
I argue that 97% of the world's population growth is taking place in the developing world, where 95% of people are religious. 
On the other hand, the secular West and East Asia has very low fertility and a rapidly aging population... In the coming decades, the developed world's demand for workers to pay its pensions and work in its service sector will soar alongside the booming supply of young people in the third world. Ergo, we can expect significant immigration to the secular West which will import religious revival on the back of ethnic change. In addition, those with religious beliefs tend to have higher birth rates than the secular population, with fundamentalists having far larger families. The epicentre of these trends will be in immigration gateway cities like New York (a third white), Amsterdam (half Dutch), Los Angeles (28% white), and London, 45% white British.




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